{"id":11866,"date":"2020-04-15T14:09:43","date_gmt":"2020-04-15T18:09:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/airpurifierspecialist.com\/store\/?p=11866"},"modified":"2020-05-25T11:20:57","modified_gmt":"2020-05-25T15:20:57","slug":"periods-of-social-distancing-might-be-necessary-into-2022-to-avoid-overwhelming-hospitals-harvard-researchers-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/airpurifierspecialist.com\/store\/periods-of-social-distancing-might-be-necessary-into-2022-to-avoid-overwhelming-hospitals-harvard-researchers-say\/","title":{"rendered":"Periods of social distancing might be necessary into 2022 to avoid overwhelming hospitals, Harvard researchers say"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-piano-inline-content-wrapper=\"\" id=\"piano-inline-content-wrapper\">\n<ul>\n<li><a data-analytics-module=\"summary_bullets\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/coronavirus-spain-denmark-italy-austria-start-reopening-economy-2020-4\">Social distancing measures<\/a> could be necessary on and off through 2022, according to infectious-disease researchers at Harvard.<\/li>\n<li>To prepare for future <a data-analytics-module=\"summary_bullets\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/countries-lift-lockdowns-face-new-waves-covid-19-2020-3\">waves of infections<\/a> and build <a data-analytics-module=\"summary_bullets\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/what-is-herd-immunity-coronavirus-covid-19-2020-4\">&#8220;herd immunity,&#8221;<\/a> the researchers said countries should expand their critical care capacities and look for new treatments.<\/li>\n<li>Widespread <a data-analytics-module=\"summary_bullets\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/us-still-needs-more-coronavirus-covid-19-testing-2020-4\">coronavirus testing<\/a> should also continue at least through 2024, to plan social distancing measures properly.<\/li>\n<li><a data-analytics-module=\"summary_bullets\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/?hprecirc-bullet\">Visit Business Insider&#8217;s homepage for more stories<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>As parts of the US reach the peak of their first wave of coronavirus infections, officials and experts are trying to discern what lies on the other side. According to infectious-disease researchers at Harvard, that could be another two years of <a data-analytics-module=\"body_link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/countries-may-need-more-lockdowns-coronavirus-2020-3\">on-and-off social distancing<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In an analysis <a data-analytics-module=\"body_link\" href=\"https:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/early\/2020\/04\/14\/science.abb5793\">published<\/a> Tuesday in the journal Science, they modeled the future of the virus that causes COVID-19 based on the behavior of two previous human coronaviruses.<\/p>\n<p>After the initial wave, they projected that the coronavirus will come back in &#8220;recurrent wintertime outbreaks.&#8221; Though they could be less severe than the first wave, new outbreaks could still overwhelm hospitals.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;To avoid this, prolonged or intermittent social distancing may be necessary into 2022,&#8221; the researchers wrote.<\/p>\n<p>They estimated that social distancing measures would need to be in place between 25% to 75% of that time, given the current critical care capacity of the US.<\/p>\n<h2>Testing, treatments, and expanded critical care could speed up the end of COVID-19<\/h2>\n<figure data-e2e-name=\"image-figure-image\" data-media-container=\"image\" data-type=\"img\">\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"social distancing\" data-content-type=\"image\/png\" data-srcs=\"{\"https:\/\/i.insider.com\/5e962846dcd88c1a857f5d92\":{\"contentType\":\"image\/png\",\"aspectRatioW\":4381,\"aspectRatioH\":3286}}\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' viewBox='0 0 1 1'%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"><\/img><\/p>\n<p>      <span><figcaption data-e2e-name=\"image-caption\">\n          Residents gather for a social distancing party in South Orange, New Jersey, meeting outdoors in a group while remaining the recommended 6 feet away from each other, during an outbreak of the COVID-19 coronavirus, March 20, 2020.<br \/>\n        <\/figcaption><span data-e2e-name=\"image-source\"><br \/>\n            Stuart Lutz\/Gado\/Getty Images<br \/>\n          <\/span><br \/>\n      <\/span><br \/>\n  <\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p>Even if the virus seems to disappear, widespread testing should continue, the researchers wrote, &#8220;since a resurgence in contagion could be possible as late as 2024.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>That testing will help officials &#8220;time the distancing measures correctly and avoid overshooting critical care capacity,&#8221; they added.<\/p>\n<p>Once the first wave of infections has passed, the researchers recommended that countries focus on finding COVID-19 treatments and expanding the capacities of their critical care systems. Such measures would help countries prepare for future waves of the virus.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;To shorten the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic and ensure adequate care for the critically ill, increasing critical care capacity and developing additional interventions are urgent priorities,&#8221; the researchers wrote. &#8220;New therapeutics, vaccines, or other interventions such as aggressive contact tracing and quarantine&#8230; could alleviate the need for stringent social distancing.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Expanding critical care capacities to handle more patients could also help populations gain <a data-analytics-module=\"body_link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/what-is-herd-immunity-coronavirus-covid-19-2020-4\">the protection of &#8220;herd immunity&#8221;<\/a> faster.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Read more<\/strong>:\u00a0<a data-analytics-module=\"body_link\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/companies-making-coronavirus-immunity-tests-serology-blood-2020-4?r%3Dcorona-lp&#038;source=gmail&#038;ust=1586992223913000&#038;usg=AFQjCNEf93N6hXooUd7-mvwB80MjltfJwA\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/companies-making-coronavirus-immunity-tests-serology-blood-2020-4?r=corona-lp\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Tests that can tell if you&#8217;re immune to the coronavirus are on the way. Here are the companies racing to bring them to the US healthcare system.<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>A population has &#8220;herd immunity&#8221; when enough of its members become immune that a virus has little opportunity to spread to new people. For now, herd immunity is a distant horizon. As more people become infected and recover in future coronavirus waves, the immune portion of the population will grow.<\/p>\n<p>But how the virus spreads over the next five years depends mostly on how long a recovered person&#8217;s immunity lasts. If an individual becomes vulnerable to re-infection just one year after recovering from illness, it will take much longer to build herd immunity and end the virus&#8217; spread.<\/p>\n<p>That timeline is still unclear, along with much of <a data-analytics-module=\"body_link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/covid-19-recovery-survivors-immunity-2020-4\">how COVID-19 immunity works<\/a>. US officials are <a data-analytics-module=\"body_link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/why-we-need-coronavirus-antibody-test-identify-immune-people-2020-3\">preparing<\/a> to make\u00a0<a data-analytics-module=\"body_link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/coronavirus-antibody-blood-test-covid-19-2020-3\">antibody blood tests<\/a> available, which can help experts learn more about resistance by detecting antibodies.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In the meantime, countries could implement more periods of social distancing or <a data-analytics-module=\"body_link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/countries-on-lockdown-coronavirus-italy-2020-3\">lockdowns<\/a> like the ones in place across most of the world.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Social distancing measures may need to last for months to effectively control transmission and mitigate the possibility of resurgence,&#8221; the Harvard researchers wrote.<\/p>\n<section>\n<p><svg aria-labelledby=\"title desc\" height=\"50\" role=\"img\" style=\"enable-background:new 0 0 50 50;\" version=\"1.1\" viewbox=\"0 0 50 50\" width=\"50\" xml:space=\"preserve\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><title id=\"title\">Loading<\/title><desc id=\"desc\">Something is loading.<\/desc><path d=\"M43.935,25.145c0-10.318-8.364-18.683-18.683-18.683c-10.318,0-18.683,8.365-18.683,18.683h4.068c0-8.071,6.543-14.615,14.615-14.615c8.072,0,14.615,6.543,14.615,14.615H43.935z\" fill=\"#111\"><animatetransform attributename=\"transform\" attributetype=\"xml\" dur=\"0.6s\" from=\"0 25 25\" repeatcount=\"indefinite\" to=\"360 25 25\" type=\"rotate\"><\/animatetransform><\/path><\/svg><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/social-distancing-might-be-necessary-into-2022-harvard-analysis-2020-4\" class=\"button purchase\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Social distancing measures could be necessary on and off through 2022, according to infectious-disease researchers at Harvard.To prepare for future waves of infections and build &#8220;herd immunity,&#8221; the researchers said countries should expand their critical care capacities and look for new treatments.Widespread coronavirus testing should also continue at least through 2024, to plan social distancing&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11867,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/airpurifierspecialist.com\/store\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11866"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/airpurifierspecialist.com\/store\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/airpurifierspecialist.com\/store\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/airpurifierspecialist.com\/store\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/airpurifierspecialist.com\/store\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11866"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/airpurifierspecialist.com\/store\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11866\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16593,"href":"https:\/\/airpurifierspecialist.com\/store\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11866\/revisions\/16593"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/airpurifierspecialist.com\/store\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11867"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/airpurifierspecialist.com\/store\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11866"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/airpurifierspecialist.com\/store\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11866"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/airpurifierspecialist.com\/store\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11866"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}